Khabarovsk, Khabarovsk, Russian Federation
The author of the article has developed medium-term scenarios of recovery the Chinese economy after the COVID-19 pandemic. The first scenario assumes a gradual recovery of the Chinese economy through the rapid abandonment of the "COVID zero policy", the reduction of real estate market risks, as well as structural and institutional changes in the economy based on its openness. The second scenario provides for an unbalanced recovery of the Chinese economy in the face of increasing endogenous risks with a raise of bad debts, a decline of the real estate market, a decrease in exports and a negative influence of geopolitical factors.
economic growth, government stimulus policy, pandemic, COVID-19, forecast, direction of development, scenario, China
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